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Unqualified British lunatic spreading lies.

 So many redundancies in the title. Of course they're promoting this . I'm guessing this bozo has zero scientific qualifications. This article debunks him.

Eliminationist runt of the week

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For your reading pleasure, here's Glenn Ellmers . Glenn is white, male, bald, middle-aged, and believes that you're not American if you didn't vote for Donald J Trump. ...most people living in the United States today — certainly more than half — are not Americans in any meaningful sense of the term. They do not believe in, live by, or even like the principles, traditions, and ideals that until recently defined America as a nation and as a people. It is not obvious what we should call these citizen-aliens, these non-American Americans; but they are something else. Oh, and Joe Biden? the senile figurehead of a party that stands for mob violence, ruthless censorship, and racial grievances, not to mention bureaucratic despotism. This, from a member of a mob that tried to overthrow the government on January 6. So what does Glenn want to do? Well, first... It is not enough just to smash all the bad things....If you are a zombie or a human rodent who wants a ...

A Locke on my Twitter Account

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 Yesterday 'Pastor' Greg Locke posted this on Twitter. Yes, it's stupid, and Locke epitomizes everything that's wrong with the white American male. He's Tennesseean, Baptist, abused his wife, and then cheated on her and ran off with his secretary. He's ugly and stupid and a Trumpkin. In other words, he's like half the middle-aged men south of the Mason-Dixon, and has concluded that the only way to stand out from the goober crowd is to excel in obnoxiousness. That's as may be, but with my ever logical mind, I wondered, how could he possibly know a mass shooting was about to take place? Unless... So Twitter restricted my account for 12 hours, for  promoting or encouraging suicide or self-harm. This puzzled me for a bit, because while I'd certainly never discourage Greg Locke from improving the planet in this way, I hadn't actually suggested he harm himself. (And, in all sincerity, I'd prefer he just became a better human being). Then I realized...

The Fortenberry saga, Chapter 1: James R. Fortenberry, slave-holder and reluctant warrior

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For the prelude to this chapter, see here . James R Fortenberry, 2nd great-grandfather of Congressman Jeff Fortenberry, was born in 1826 or thereabouts, in Copiah Co., Mississippi. Copiah County Mississippi in the 1820s was the sticky southern edge of the American frontier, a bug-infested alligator-ridden swamp on the far edge of the new Republic. Whites had only recently stolen this particular swath of Native American land. The ‘treaty’ of Doak’s Stand secured what is now the western part of Mississippi for the whites. It was ceded to the United States after murderous thug and soon-to-be second-worst-president-ever Andrew Jackson threatened to destroy the Choctaw Nation if they refused to sign. The land became the huge Hind’s County is 1821; and was then broken up into manageable chunks in 1823, the southernmest corner becoming Copiah County. Copiah was the Choctaw word for calling panthe r. Wypipo for sentimental reasons liked to name newly settled land in the language of the people...

Three Little Maids

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 It's been a long time, and it's time to resurrect the classics from the old blog. Here are Senators Halloran, Erdman, and Brewer in their rendition of Three Little Maids From School  from The Mikado. Since Halloran loves the Mikado so much, I decided to dedicate a song to him. Three little goons from the GOP Gunning for the university From liberal profs we’ll set you free Goons from the GOP Three little goons, are we! Three little goons from the legislature Hitler clones by our very nature IQs below room temperature Goons from the GOP Three little goons, are we! One little goon his name is Brewer Halloran joins him in the sewer Erdman makes three, and no fewer Goons from the GOP Three little goons, are we!

Pandemic excess deaths in the United states, to May 30.

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Excess death data through 6/13/20 were released yesterday. I've established, comparing a series of CDC data releases, that the 2020 data up to May 30 are more-or-less complete. Recorded COVID cases through May 30 are 66.2% of excess deaths over the same period. So we're still counting about two COVID deaths out of every three. This is the total death count by week (blue) versus a typical year (orange). The death rate was still dropping on May 30; it was about 925/day. The undercount rate seemed to have steadied by 5/30; it's possibly slightly declining.

The COVID undercount to may 23; updated data. 65% of COVID deaths were counted.

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I've updated the data to May 23, using the June 17 release of data from CDC. This also adds some counts to earlier data. But the basic picture remains the same. The calculated undercount (Johns Hopkins deaths to May 23, divided by excess deaths to May 23) × 100% is 65.3%, slightly lower than the previous estimate. The curves took a little smoother, ad we seem to be settling down to an undercount of slightly under 75%. The fraction of over 85s (blue) dying has risen somewhat. Still, steady state seems to be that 60% of the deaths are over 75