The COVID undercount to May 16: Part 2, details

A few things I noticed about the undercount data (see first post here). Firstly, the undercount was severe at the very beginning, but by May 5 (week 18 of year 2020) or so we were counting all or almost all the deaths. Then the fraction counted seems to start dropping again.

And the deaths by age are interesting. About 30% of deaths fall into each of the over-85 (blue) and the 75-84 cohorts (orange). Of course, the older cohort has a higher death rate, but the cohort is smaller. And the very old (over-85) seem to have a spike right at the beginning. They die quickly once the surge starts. That makes sense, but it's interesting it's verified in these data.

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